/kjuːd/
20 predictions across 5 platforms updated: Mar 03, 2026 at 12:17 PM PST / 03:17 PM EST
platforms tracked
polymarket kalshi metaculus manifold predictit
ranked by 24h volume with guaranteed slots for each platform
#1 Polymarket polymarket
closes Feb 28, 2026

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

24h vol $13,076,879 Yes 100% liquidity $5,934,099
total volume: $122,575,527
Prediction Market: Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: Yes at 100% Current standings: Yes: 100%, No: 0% Trading Activity: $13,076,879 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: February 28, 2026 Liquidity: $5,934,099 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#2 Polymarket polymarket
closes May 30, 2026

La Liga Winner

24h vol $10,255,750 Barcelona 74% liquidity $5,025,683
total volume: $136,759,361
Prediction Market: La Liga Winner Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 2 options Leading Outcome: Barcelona at 74% Current standings: Barcelona: 74%, Real Madrid: 23% Trading Activity: $10,255,750 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: May 30, 2026 Liquidity: $5,025,683 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#3 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24h vol $8,799,506 Gavin Newsom 25% liquidity $39,868,188
total volume: $753,327,547
Prediction Market: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Gavin Newsom at 25% Current standings: Gavin Newsom: 25%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 8%, Kamala Harris: 6%, Jon Ossoff: 4% Trading Activity: $8,799,506 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $39,868,188 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#4 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jul 01, 2026

2026 NBA Champion

24h vol $7,336,061 Oklahoma City Thunder 36% liquidity $17,847,263
total volume: $332,756,204
Prediction Market: 2026 NBA Champion Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Oklahoma City Thunder at 36% Current standings: Oklahoma City Thunder: 36%, San Antonio Spurs: 13%, Denver Nuggets: 10%, Boston Celtics: 8% Trading Activity: $7,336,061 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: July 01, 2026 Liquidity: $17,847,263 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#5 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 01, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

24h vol $5,439,648 ↑ 70,000 100% liquidity $3,943,157
total volume: $11,110,972
Prediction Market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: ↑ 70,000 at 100% Current standings: ↑ 70,000: 100%, ↓ 65,000: 72%, ↑ 75,000: 54%, ↓ 60,000: 40% Trading Activity: $5,439,648 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 01, 2026 Liquidity: $3,943,157 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#6 Polymarket polymarket
closes Mar 18, 2026

Fed decision in March?

24h vol $4,793,024 No change 97% liquidity $4,198,990
total volume: $202,060,399
Prediction Market: Fed decision in March? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 2 options Leading Outcome: No change at 97% Current standings: No change: 97%, 25 bps decrease: 2% Trading Activity: $4,793,024 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: March 18, 2026 Liquidity: $4,198,990 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#7 Polymarket polymarket
closes Dec 31, 2026

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

24h vol $4,312,795 December 31 53% liquidity $162,450
total volume: $9,905,921
Prediction Market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 3 options Leading Outcome: December 31 at 53% Current standings: December 31: 53%, June 30: 51%, March 31: 48% Trading Activity: $4,312,795 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: December 31, 2026 Liquidity: $162,450 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#8 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

24h vol $4,281,751 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49% liquidity $16,200,302
total volume: $348,832,301
Prediction Market: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Robert F. at 49% Current standings: Robert F. Vance: 41%, Marco Rubio: 18%, Ron DeSantis: 3% Trading Activity: $4,281,751 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $16,200,302 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#9 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

24h vol $4,280,696 JD Vance 23% liquidity $17,567,639
total volume: $356,343,392
Prediction Market: Presidential Election Winner 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: JD Vance at 23% Current standings: JD Vance: 23%, Gavin Newsom: 17%, Marco Rubio: 8%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 5% Trading Activity: $4,280,696 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $17,567,639 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#10 Polymarket polymarket
closes Mar 31, 2026

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

24h vol $4,204,605 Yes 100% liquidity $1,328,687
total volume: $62,878,388
Prediction Market: Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: Yes at 100% Current standings: Yes: 100%, No: 0% Trading Activity: $4,204,605 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: March 31, 2026 Liquidity: $1,328,687 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#11 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jul 20, 2026

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

24h vol $3,388,795 Spain 15% liquidity $40,670,228
total volume: $239,329,706
Prediction Market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Spain at 15% Current standings: Spain: 15%, England: 13%, Argentina: 12%, France: 11% Trading Activity: $3,388,795 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: July 20, 2026 Liquidity: $40,670,228 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#12 Polymarket polymarket
no end date

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

24h vol $2,976,945 June 30 74% liquidity $593,277
total volume: $8,913,989
Prediction Market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: June 30 at 74% Current standings: June 30: 74%, May 31: 66%, April 30: 58%, March 31: 44% Trading Activity: $2,976,945 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: no set end date Liquidity: $593,277 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#13 Polymarket polymarket
closes Dec 31, 2026

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

24h vol $2,626,361 Mojtaba Khamenei 35% liquidity $822,112
total volume: $8,653,111
Prediction Market: Next Supreme Leader of Iran? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Mojtaba Khamenei at 35% Current standings: Mojtaba Khamenei: 35%, Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i: 14%, Hassan Rouhani: 11%, Hassan Khomeini: 9% Trading Activity: $2,626,361 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: December 31, 2026 Liquidity: $822,112 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#14 Polymarket polymarket
closes Mar 31, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

24h vol $2,507,987 No 84% liquidity $493,640
total volume: $17,542,073
Prediction Market: Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: No at 84% Current standings: Yes: 16%, No: 84% Trading Activity: $2,507,987 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: March 31, 2026 Liquidity: $493,640 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#15 Polymarket polymarket
closes Dec 31, 2026

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

24h vol $2,371,612 Kevin Warsh 93% liquidity $50,854,159
total volume: $560,227,776
Prediction Market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 4 options Leading Outcome: Kevin Warsh at 93% Current standings: Kevin Warsh: 93%, Rick Rieder: 8%, Judy Shelton: 4%, James Bullard: 4% Trading Activity: $2,371,612 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: December 31, 2026 Liquidity: $50,854,159 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#16 Polymarket polymarket
closes Mar 10, 2026

US/Israel strikes Iran on...?

24h vol $2,152,627 March 3 100% liquidity $180,506
total volume: $7,320,611
Prediction Market: US/Israel strikes Iran on...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: March 3 at 100% Current standings: March 3: 100%, March 1: 100%, March 2: 100%, March 4: 99% Trading Activity: $2,152,627 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: March 10, 2026 Liquidity: $180,506 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#17 Polymarket polymarket
closes Feb 28, 2026

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?

24h vol $2,047,960 Tehran 100% liquidity $280,782
total volume: $4,485,561
Prediction Market: What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 2 options Leading Outcome: Tehran at 100% Current standings: Tehran: 100%, Nuclear: 100% Trading Activity: $2,047,960 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: February 28, 2026 Liquidity: $280,782 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#18 Kalshi kalshi
closes Mar 17, 2026

Bellarmine at Florida Gulf Coast Winner?

24h vol $457,377 Bellarmine 99%
total volume: $522,054
Prediction Market: Bellarmine at Florida Gulf Coast Winner? Platform: Kalshi Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: Bellarmine at 99% Current standings: Bellarmine: 1%, Bellarmine: 99% Trading Activity: $457,377 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: March 17, 2026 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#19 Manifold manifold
closes Dec 31, 2026

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

24h vol M$103,869 No 55% liquidity $10,010
total volume: M$1,890,637
Prediction Market: Will Iran's regime fall in 2026? Platform: Manifold Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: No at 55% Current standings: Yes: 45%, No: 55% Trading Activity: M$103,869 in play money Market Closes: December 31, 2026 Liquidity: $10,010 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#20 PredictIt predictit
no end date

First Cabinet member to leave?

market real money Noem 26%
Prediction Market: First Cabinet member to leave? Platform: PredictIt Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Noem at 26% Current standings: Noem: 26%, Bondi: 14%, Lutnick: 12%, Chavez-DeRemer: 9% Trading Activity: community forecast Market Closes: no set end date This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.