/kjuːd/
20 predictions across 5 platforms updated: Apr 17, 2026 at 09:01 PM PST / 12:01 AM EST
platforms tracked
polymarket kalshi metaculus manifold predictit
ranked by 24h volume with guaranteed slots for each platform
#1 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jun 30, 2026

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

24h vol $31,377,041 June 30 100% liquidity $20,529,067
total volume: $60,525,131
Prediction Market: Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 4 options Leading Outcome: June 30 at 100% Current standings: June 30: 100%, April 30: 100%, April 21: 100%, April 18: 100% Trading Activity: $31,377,041 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: June 30, 2026 Liquidity: $20,529,067 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#2 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 18, 2026

Warriors vs. Suns

24h vol $10,555,562 1H Spread -1.5 100% liquidity $296,856
total volume: $10,825,150
Prediction Market: Warriors vs. Suns Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: 1H Spread -1.5 at 100% Current standings: 1H Spread -1.5: 100%, 1H Spread -0.5: 100%, Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5: 100%, Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5: 100% Trading Activity: $10,555,562 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 18, 2026 Liquidity: $296,856 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#3 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24h vol $8,990,221 Gavin Newsom 27% liquidity $45,970,576
total volume: $1,064,122,479
Prediction Market: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Gavin Newsom at 27% Current standings: Gavin Newsom: 27%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9%, Kamala Harris: 7%, Jon Ossoff: 6% Trading Activity: $8,990,221 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $45,970,576 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#4 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 17, 2026

Hornets vs. Magic

24h vol $7,913,647 LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5 100% liquidity $13
total volume: $8,772,652
Magic Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5 at 100% Current standings: LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5: 100%, Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5: 100%, Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5: 100%, Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 10.5: 100% Trading Activity: $7,913,647 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 17, 2026 Liquidity: $13 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#5 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jul 20, 2026

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

24h vol $7,430,380 Spain 17% liquidity $145,924,980
total volume: $677,017,477
Prediction Market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Spain at 17% Current standings: Spain: 17%, France: 16%, England: 11%, Argentina: 9% Trading Activity: $7,430,380 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: July 20, 2026 Liquidity: $145,924,980 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#6 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jul 01, 2026

2026 NBA Champion

24h vol $6,960,027 Oklahoma City Thunder 46% liquidity $9,815,304
total volume: $284,645,099
Prediction Market: 2026 NBA Champion Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Oklahoma City Thunder at 46% Current standings: Oklahoma City Thunder: 46%, San Antonio Spurs: 15%, Boston Celtics: 12%, Denver Nuggets: 8% Trading Activity: $6,960,027 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: July 01, 2026 Liquidity: $9,815,304 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#7 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 29, 2026

Fed decision in April?

24h vol $6,088,035 No change 99% liquidity $12,927,861
total volume: $110,064,501
Prediction Market: Fed decision in April? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 1 options Leading Outcome: No change at 99% Trading Activity: $6,088,035 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 29, 2026 Liquidity: $12,927,861 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#8 Polymarket polymarket
closes May 31, 2026

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

24h vol $4,819,648 June 30 72% liquidity $881,069
total volume: $15,638,888
Prediction Market: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 4 options Leading Outcome: June 30 at 72% Current standings: June 30: 72%, May 31: 66%, April 30: 48%, April 22: 32% Trading Activity: $4,819,648 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: May 31, 2026 Liquidity: $881,069 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#9 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 30, 2026

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

24h vol $4,690,004 ↑ $110 100% liquidity $1,248,291
total volume: $40,403,383
Prediction Market: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: ↑ $110 at 100% Current standings: ↑ $110: 100%, ↑ $100: 100%, ↑ $90: 100%, ↓ $80: 100% Trading Activity: $4,690,004 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 30, 2026 Liquidity: $1,248,291 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#10 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

24h vol $4,324,955 JD Vance 19% liquidity $29,041,393
total volume: $537,311,986
Prediction Market: Presidential Election Winner 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: JD Vance at 19% Current standings: JD Vance: 19%, Gavin Newsom: 17%, Marco Rubio: 11%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 8% Trading Activity: $4,324,955 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $29,041,393 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#11 Polymarket polymarket
closes Nov 07, 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

24h vol $4,056,109 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49% liquidity $29,741,057
total volume: $564,626,469
Prediction Market: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Robert F. at 49% Current standings: Robert F. Vance: 39%, Marco Rubio: 22%, Tucker Carlson: 5% Trading Activity: $4,056,109 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: November 07, 2028 Liquidity: $29,741,057 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#12 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 30, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

24h vol $3,802,493 No 62% liquidity $542,480
total volume: $14,671,489
Prediction Market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: No at 62% Current standings: Yes: 38%, No: 62% Trading Activity: $3,802,493 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 30, 2026 Liquidity: $542,480 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#13 Polymarket polymarket
closes May 01, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

24h vol $2,711,356 ↑ 75,000 100% liquidity $4,155,348
total volume: $30,265,173
Prediction Market: What price will Bitcoin hit in April? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: ↑ 75,000 at 100% Current standings: ↑ 75,000: 100%, ↑ 70,000: 100%, ↑ 80,000: 54%, ↑ 85,000: 12% Trading Activity: $2,711,356 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: May 01, 2026 Liquidity: $4,155,348 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#14 Polymarket polymarket
closes Dec 06, 2026

F1 Drivers' Champion

24h vol $2,125,491 George Russell 44% liquidity $11,395,377
total volume: $109,921,787
Prediction Market: F1 Drivers' Champion Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: George Russell at 44% Current standings: George Russell: 44%, Kimi Antonelli: 30%, Charles Leclerc: 6%, Oscar Piastri: 5% Trading Activity: $2,125,491 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: December 06, 2026 Liquidity: $11,395,377 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#15 Polymarket polymarket
closes Apr 18, 2026

Bitcoin above ___ on April 18?

24h vol $1,814,408 62,000 100% liquidity $824,717
total volume: $2,484,149
Prediction Market: Bitcoin above ___ on April 18? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: 62,000 at 100% Current standings: 62,000: 100%, 64,000: 100%, 66,000: 100%, 68,000: 100% Trading Activity: $1,814,408 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: April 18, 2026 Liquidity: $824,717 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#16 Polymarket polymarket
closes Dec 31, 2026

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

24h vol $1,746,296 December 31 46% liquidity $499,154
total volume: $5,195,936
Prediction Market: US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 3 options Leading Outcome: December 31 at 46% Current standings: December 31: 46%, May 31: 30%, April 30: 5% Trading Activity: $1,746,296 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: December 31, 2026 Liquidity: $499,154 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#17 Polymarket polymarket
closes May 16, 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

24h vol $1,643,376 Finland 36% liquidity $14,485,553
total volume: $94,748,374
Prediction Market: Eurovision Winner 2026 Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Finland at 36% Current standings: Finland: 36%, France: 12%, Denmark: 10%, Australia: 7% Trading Activity: $1,643,376 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: May 16, 2026 Liquidity: $14,485,553 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#18 Polymarket polymarket
closes Jun 07, 2026

Peru Presidential Election Winner

24h vol $1,594,090 Keiko Fujimori 66% liquidity $7,996,763
total volume: $35,010,477
Prediction Market: Peru Presidential Election Winner Platform: Polymarket Market Type: Multiple choice with 3 options Leading Outcome: Keiko Fujimori at 66% Current standings: Keiko Fujimori: 66%, Roberto Sánchez Palomino: 22%, Rafael López Aliaga: 10% Trading Activity: $1,594,090 traded in last 24 hours Market Closes: June 07, 2026 Liquidity: $7,996,763 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#19 Manifold manifold
closes Jul 19, 2028

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

24h vol M$78,872 Yes 95% liquidity $10,000
total volume: M$9,726,681
Prediction Market: Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin? Platform: Manifold Market Type: Yes/No binary Leading Outcome: Yes at 95% Current standings: Yes: 95%, No: 5% Trading Activity: M$78,872 in play money Market Closes: July 19, 2028 Liquidity: $10,000 This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
#20 PredictIt predictit
no end date

Next Cabinet member to leave?

market real money Hegseth 40%
Prediction Market: Next Cabinet member to leave? Platform: PredictIt Market Type: Multiple choice with 5 options Leading Outcome: Hegseth at 40% Current standings: Hegseth: 40%, Gabbard: 21%, Chavez-DeRemer: 20%, Rollins: 10% Trading Activity: community forecast Market Closes: no set end date This is a prediction market where traders bet on the outcome. The current odds reflect the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.